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ECO 704

Advanced Exploration Valuation and Decision Analysis

In this course, we will cover the art and science of making hydrocarbon exploration decisions.Our goal is to familiarize the participants with an understanding of decisions, their relevant uncertain factors, and show them a consistent valuation of exploration opportunities. 

COURSE SCHEDULE

Code Date Location price (€)*
ECO 704 1 - 5 Jun 2026 Online 2490
ECO 704 18- 22 May 2026 London 4990

COURSE OVERVIEW

COURSE OUTLINE

5 days
DAY 1

 

o Understanding key decisions

o The value chain for upstream hydrocarbon industry

o Economic decision analysis, why we make decisions based on expected values?

o Key aspects of petroleum exploration decisions

a king. In this first part we discuss the major decisions in the petroleum exploration business. We further discuss the relevant uncertainties, the value drivers, and a method for consistent decision making. Topics include
o Understanding key decisions
o The Value chain for exploration (and development) of hydrocarbons
o Economic decision analysis, why we make decisions based on expected values?
o Key aspects of petroleum exploration decisions

DAY 2

o Risk vs. uncertainty; a discussion about subsurface and oil market

o Discounting for time & risk

o Corporate finance & commodity markets

o Practical aspects of exploration decisions

o Case study: Exploration in a mature area

DAY 3

o Decision Trees; how to model exploration opportunities

o Conditional probabilities & value of information

o Case study: Valuation challenges of Frontier Exploration

DAY 4

o Probabilities to encode uncertainty

o Bayesian approach to assessment of conditional probabilities

o Value of information in exploration decisions

oCase study: The decision to drill an appraisal well

DAY 5

o Value of flexibility, real options, & value of information

o Environmental considerations in hydrocarbon exploration

o Emission tax, emission markets & emerging trends

o Case study: Multi-prospect & sequential exploration

o Case study: Waiting option within an exploration license

INSTRUCTOR

FAQ

DESIGNED FOR

This course is useful for analysts, engineers, and managers involved in the process of exploration decision making, as well as professionals interested in practice of oil and gas exploration business.
This training course is suitable to a wide range of professionals including:
o Technical staff interested in decision-making side of exploration
o Commercial staff interested in gaining in-depth knowledge of valuation and analysis
o Managers involved in exploration decisions
o Researchers and practitioners who aim to broaden their knowledge of exploration valuation

COURSE LEVEL

o Advance

LEARNING OBJECTIVES

 

The learning objectives of the top-most level  content of the course are:

o Increase the general understanding of investments in an uncertain environment

o Raise awareness about sources of uncertainty in exploration, both subsurface and commercial

o Opens the door to more informed exploration decisions

REGISTER

 

Registration is now OPEN!

Ph.D. students, group and early bird registrants are eligible to DISCOUNT!

For more details and registration please send email to: register@petro-teach.com

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